Position:analyst > analysis > Analysis of Bus Market Features in 1st Half Year of 2009 and Prognosticate
Analysis of Bus Market Features in 1st Half Year of 2009 and Prognosticate
2009-08-20 Source：www.english.chinabuses.com
Summarize：
English.chinabuses.com: Recent years, bus sale volume has been rise all the while, but the up- trend weakened until 2008 for the influence of World Financial Crisis and national Ⅱ to national Ⅲ emission standard. According to the statistic data show: bus sold 61591 units from January to June in 2009, basing on the market rule of bus industry, in the second half year generally finished the 55%～60% of the whole year’s sale volume, combing the special situation of this year, the second half year divide for the whole year sale volume at 55% rate, the first half year sold 61591 units buses, then the sale volume of 2nd half year can be prognosticated about 80000 units, and the sale volume of 2009 the whole year can be 141591 units, following the detail sale volume and growth speed in the table:
2005～2009 bus sale volume growth and prognosticate
Year
05&04 Growth Y/Y
06&05 Growth Y/Y
07&06 Growth Y/Y
08&07 Growth Y/Y
09&08 Growth Y/Y (prognosticate)
Growth%
0.63
20.7
19.45
-3.19
-12.5%
Conclusion from the 2nd table: The sale growth fluctuation of 2005.2006.2007 and 2008 are great, there is no regularity. The growth speed of 2005 was 0.63%, the one of 2006 and 2007 both were about 20%, 2008 for the influence of world financial crisis and national Ⅱ to national Ⅲ emission standard, the growth speed slow down, and show the negative growth.2009 is also influenced by World Financial Crisis, show the negative growth.
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