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Position:analyst > analysis > Analysis of Foton Euro-Ⅴ Bus Sales Figure Jan-Aug 2009 Ⅰ

Analysis of Foton Euro-Ⅴ Bus Sales Figure Jan-Aug 2009 Ⅰ

2009-10-22    Source:
Summarize:

English.chinabuses.com: Part 1  Analysis of sales increase in bus industry between Jan-Aug 2009 and Jan-Aug 2008

  
1. Overall sales increase in each length

 
Total
12L
11L≤12
10L≤11
9L≤10
8L≤9
7L≤8
6L≤7
5L≤6
3.5L≤5
Jan-Aug 2009
89636
1140
15119
12401
6815
11648
15246
15890
6236
5141
Jan-Aug 2008
113938
2638
21534
15673
8454
14374
21258
16776
6979
6252
Year on year increase
-21.3
-56.8
-29.8
-20.9
-19.4
-19.0
-28.3
-5.3
-10.6
-17.8


 

It can be observed that: 

 

Sales volume drops 21.3% YoY in first eight months this year, and it is an overall decline since Jan -45.9%, Feb -41.5%, March -34.2%, April -32.7%, May -32.2%, June -33.65%, July -28.03% and Aug -21.3%. It shows that financial crisis is still influencing bus market, but the decline amplitude became smaller than previous months, namely smaller than 25% for the first time, indicating the recovery period is peeping. Super large buses which are over 12-meter long saw the biggest decline -56.8%, then it comes 11~12-meter -29.8%, 7~8-meter -28.3%, 6~7-meter -5.3% (the smallest decline), 5~6-meter -10.6%, and 3.5~5-meter -17.8%.


  
2. Coach

 

 
Total
12L
11L≤12
10L≤11
9L≤10
8L≤9
7L≤8
6L≤7
5L≤6
3.5L≤5
Jan-Aug 2009
57981
416
7711
4727
2842
6620
10905
13618
6001
5141
Jan-Aug 2008
72499
329
9949
7177
3927
7996
14586
15986
6303
6252
Year on year increase
-20.0
26.4
-22.5
-34.1
-27.6
-17.2
-25.2
-14.8
-4.8
-17.8


 It can be observed that: 

 

Sales volume drops 20.0% for coaches in the first eight months this year, which is slightly smaller than overall bus market; only super large buses saw increase, indicating that super large coaches are still increasing, but the base is not large. Ten-eleven-meter buses saw the biggest decline, then it comes 9~10-meter, 7~8-meter, 6~7-meter, and 5~6-metre saw the smallest decline. It shows the decline of coaches contributes the main part of the overall decline in the first eight months decline in 2009 and financial crisis posed huge influence on the coaches market in this period.
  


 3. Public transport buses

  

 
Total
12L
11L≤12
10L≤11
9L≤10
8L≤9
7L≤8
6L≤7
5L≤6
Jan-Aug 2009
29896
529
5977
7662
3970
4995
4340
2161
235
Jan-Aug 2008
39290
2160
9965
8482
4376
6376
6599
682
650
Year on year increase
-23.9
-75.5
-40.0
-9.7
-9.3
-21.7
-34.2
216.9
-63.8

 

It is observed that:

 

Sales volume drops 23.9% for public transport buses in first eight months this year, nearly 7% less than the first seven months, and this is also the seventh decline of public transport buses market since last year, indicating that public transport bus market was influenced by financial crisis and it also contributes the main reason of the overall decline of the public transport bus market. It can be seen that only 6~7-meter buses increased, up to 216.9%, indicating that countryside public transport bus market started to increase. Super large buses saw the biggest decline, up to 75.5%, then it comes 5~6-meter -63.8%, 11~12-meter -40%.

 

 
 4. Sleeper bus

 

 
Total
12L
11L≤12
10L≤11
Jan-Aug 2009
1637
194
1431
12
Jan-Aug 2008
1763
129
1620
14
Year on year increase
-7.1
50.4
-11.7
-14.3


 
  
 It can be observed that: 


  
Sleeper buses saw overall decline in the first eight months 2009 YoY. The decline amplitude is up to 7.1%, nearly 3% less than the first seven months (9.91%). The 11~12-meter buses, main products of sleeper bus, saw the biggest decline, up to 189 vehicles. It is also noted that the decline amplitude of sleeper bus is less than coaches and public transport buses, and sleeper bus is also least influenced in bus market.

 

  
Part 2 Top 20 sales volume of bus manufacturers in the first eight months 2009 compared with the same period in 2008

 

Rank
Manufacturer
Jan-Aug 2009
Jan-Aug 2008
Amplitude increased
1
Yutong
15464
18480
-16.3
2
Golden Dragon
9048
11559
-21.7
3
Higer
8894
11233
-20.8
4
King Long
7964
9652
-17.5
5
Shaolin
4427
4860
-8.9
6
Zhongtong
4289
5455
-21.4
7
Hengtong
2688
2569
4.6
8
Youyi
2445
3053
-19.9
9
Changan
2342
2600
-9.9
10
JAC
2328
3757
-38
11
Guilin Bus
1872
1748
7.1
12
Huanghai
1798
3422
-47.5
13
Yangtse
1784
1956
-8.8
14
Shenlong
1664
2017
-17.5
15
Foton
1579
1689
-6.5
16
Sunwin
1547
2152
-28.1
17
Yaxing
1459
2360
-38.2
18
NAVECO
1454
2049
-29
19
Ankai
1400
2189
-36
20
Youngman
1355
1298
4.4
 
Bus Industry
89636
113938
-21.3




Editor:Guangbin

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