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Position:analyst > analysis > The Analyse of Public Transport Market 2009 and the Market Predication 2010

The Analyse of Public Transport Market 2009 and the Market Predication 2010

2010-02-22    Source:www.chinabuses.org
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The Comparative Analysis of Sales Data of 2009 and 2008

Table One: the sales growth of buses in each length (Unit: vehicle)

 

 

Total

12<L

11<L≤12

10<L≤11

9<L≤10

2009

53581

1186

11449

12976

7437

2008

55353

2451

13445

12730

6777

year-to-year growth

-3.2

-51.6

-14.9

1.93

9.7

 

8<L≤9

7<L≤8

6<L≤7

5<L≤6

 

2009

8843

7960

3390

340

 

2008

8711

9201

1144

894

 

year-to-year growth

0.15

-13.5

196.3

-62

 

 

 


Chart One: the sales growth of buses in each length

 

 

Shown above:

 

It decreases 3.2% in buses in 2009, less almost 4 percent than the overall growth of 0.81% in bus market. This is also the first year with the decline for bus industry since 2000. It indicates the severe influence of the financial crisis on public transport market in 2009. In length, only 6~7-meter buses positively grow in sales with the speed of 196.3%. The growth of the rural transport market initially turns on. 5~6-meter buses fall most with the rate of 62.0% and then super large buses with 51.6%, 11~12-meter with 14.9%.

 

Analysis of Sales and Ranking of Top 15 Companies in Public Transport Market 2009

1. Sales and Production Ranking of Buses

 

The total production volume of top 15 bus manufacturers is 40,315 units, the accumulated sales volume is 39,797 units, the production concentration is 74.43% and the sales concentration is 74.27%. It all shows obvious decline in sales and production compared with the same period of last year. It indicates that there still does not exist the comparatively stable industry structures for public transport buses.

 

Table Two: the ranking table of the accumulated production and sales of buses

 

No.

Company

Output

Concentration ratio

Sales volume

Concentration ratio

1

Yutong

5810

10.7

5695

10.63

2

Hengtong

4007

7.4

3996

7.46

3

Higer

3997

7.38

3868

7.22

4

Sunwin

3098

5.72

3098

5.78

5

Kinglong

3044

5.62

3044

5.68

6

Yangtse

2622

4.84

2650

4.94

7

Youyi

2640

4.87

2628

4.9

8

Huanghai

2588

4.78

2472

4.61

9

Shaolin

2070

3.82

2044

3.81

10

Chengdu

2003

3.7

1972

3.68

11

Ankai

1842

3.4

1822

3.4

12

FAW

1695

3.1

1652

3.08

13

Yaxing

1637

3

1657

3.09

14

Chang'an

1713

3.16

1643

3.07

15

JAC

1549

2.86

1556

2.9

 

 


Chart Two: the ranking chart of the accumulated production and sales of buses

 

 

2. Sales Analysis of Large, Light and Medium Buses

 

In 2009, the accumulated sales volume of 50 bus companies is 53,581 units, including 25,611 large buses, accounting for 47.8%; 24,150 medium buses, 45.07%; 3,730 light buses, 6.96%. The accumulated sales volume of large buses of the top 15 companies is 22,094 units with the concentration rate of 86.27% and declines almost 4 percent over the same period. The accumulated sales volume of medium buses of the top 15 companies is 19,596 units with the concentration rate of 81.14% and increases 1.37 percent over the same period. The accumulated sales volume of light buses of the top 15 companies is 3,729 units with the concentration rate of 99.97%, rising over the same period.

 

Table Three: sales ranking of large buses ( Unit : vehicle)

 

 

Company

Sales Volume

Concentration ratio

1

Yutong

2889

11.28

2

Sunwin

2699

10.54

3

Kinglong

2544

9.93

4

Yangtse

2306

9

5

Huanghai

2301

8.98

6

Hengtong

2120

8.27

7

Chengdu

1214

4.74

8

FAW

1214

4.74

9

Zhongtong

975

3.81

10

Quick

844

3.3

11

Yaxing

720

2.81

12

Ankai

703

2.74

13

Higer

633

2.47

14

Sunlong

539

2.1

15

Golden dragon

393

1.53

 

Total

22094

86.27

 

 


Chart Three: statistic chart of large buses

 

 

Table Four: sales ranking of medium buses (Unit : vehicle)

 

 

Company

Sales volume

Concentration ratio

1

Higer

3235

13.4

2

Yutong

2806

11.62

3

Youyi

2628

10.9

4

Chang'an

1619

6.7

5

Hengtong

1437

5.95

6

JAC

1268

5.25

7

Shaolin

1219

5.05

8

Ankai

1119

4.63

9

Sunlong

969

4.01

10

Quick

676

2.8

11

Xiangfan

581

2.41

12

Yaxing

579

2.4

13

Golden dragon

507

2.1

14

Kinglong

500

2.07

15

FAW

453

1.88

 

Total

19596

81.14

 

 


Chart Four: statistic chart of medium buses

 

 

Table Five: sales ranking of minibuses (Unit : vehicle)

 

 

Company

Sales volume

Concentration ratio

1

Anyuan

1107

4.58

2

Shaolin

611

2.53

3

Hengtong

439

1.82

4

Chengdu

330

1.37

5

Xiangfan

306

1.27

6

Shuchi

201

0.83

7

Yangtse

195

0.8

8

JAC

145

0.6

9

Nanjun

120

0.5

10

Dongte

91

0.38

11

Dongfeng

61

0.25

12

FAW

42

0.17

13

Yaxing

39

0.16

14

Chang'an

24

0.099

15

Bangle

18

0.075

 

Total

3729

99.97

 

 


Chart Five: statistic chart of minibuses

Editor:Andrea

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