Summarize:www.chinabuses.org: Part 1 Historical statistics of sales volumes of bus
Table 1 Sales statistics of bus from 2007-2009 Unit: vehicle
|
Jan.
|
Feb.
|
March
|
April
|
May
|
June
|
2007
|
13670
|
8808
|
10323
|
15028
|
12372
|
14498
|
2008
|
17124
|
6960
|
12374
|
15579
|
17003
|
23078
|
2009
|
9268
|
4961
|
9233
|
11840
|
11757
|
14474
|
|
July
|
August
|
Sept.
|
Oct.
|
Nov.
|
Dec.
|
2007
|
12768
|
14591
|
16698
|
12077
|
14995
|
21756
|
2008
|
10384
|
10732
|
12435
|
9439
|
10424
|
16062
|
2009
|
12632
|
15357
|
18801
|
12067
|
15224
|
23293
|
Figure 1 Sales statistics of bus from 2007-2009
It can be seen from above that:
1. There were two clear stages for China bus industry in the previous three years. The first stage was first half of 2007 till the same period in 2008. Chins bus builders were finishing upgrade of technology and craftsmanship and they started to explore overseas markets. And the second stage was from second half of 2008 to now, there were some record high sales volumes by the Olympic Games and in late 2009, china bus industry were severely influenced by global financial crisis, and currently it is under difficult structural adjustment periods.
2. Bus industry is influenced by seasons much.
3. Sales of domestic markets were clearly lower than the previous two years, especially February.
Part 2 Part 1 Historical statistics of sales volumes of minibus
Table 2 Sales statistics of minibus from 2007-2009 Unit: vehicle
Year
|
Month
|
6<L≤7
|
5<L≤6
|
3.5<L≤5
|
Total
|
2008
|
Jan.
|
2290
|
935
|
1222
|
4447
|
Feb.
|
990
|
353
|
773
|
2116
|
March
|
1712
|
555
|
1258
|
3525
|
April
|
2579
|
1151
|
796
|
4526
|
May
|
2943
|
1293
|
849
|
5085
|
June
|
3781
|
1819
|
457
|
6057
|
July
|
1094
|
490
|
347
|
1931
|
August
|
1387
|
383
|
550
|
2320
|
Sept.
|
1451
|
595
|
500
|
2546
|
Oct.
|
1322
|
742
|
444
|
2508
|
Nov.
|
1603
|
619
|
372
|
2594
|
Dec.
|
2330
|
690
|
750
|
3770
|
2009
|
Jan.
|
1617
|
640
|
312
|
2569
|
Feb.
|
790
|
476
|
401
|
1667
|
March
|
1615
|
630
|
856
|
3101
|
April
|
2128
|
769
|
665
|
3562
|
May
|
1964
|
880
|
745
|
3589
|
June
|
2341
|
928
|
600
|
3869
|
July
|
2385
|
850
|
671
|
3906
|
August
|
3050
|
1063
|
891
|
5004
|
Sept.
|
3217
|
1085
|
753
|
5055
|
Oct.
|
1843
|
895
|
457
|
3195
|
Nov.
|
5419
|
1091
|
769
|
7279
|
Dec.
|
3622
|
1919
|
995
|
6536
|
Figure2 Sales statistics of minibus from 2007-2009
We can see that overall changes of minibus are similar to that of bus industry. We have stressed policies about minibus entering countryside markets, in this case minibus markets recovered faster than overall bus industry.
Part 3 Increment analysis of minibus
Table 3 Sales increment analysis of buses in Dec. 2009 Unit: vehicle
|
Bus
|
Minibus
|
Dec. 2009
|
sales
|
Growth YoY
|
Growth MoM
|
sales
|
Growth YoY
|
Growth MoM
|
23293
|
53%
|
45%
|
6536
|
-10%
|
73%
|
Figure 3 Sales increment analysis of buses in Dec. 2009
It can be seen from above that:
1. Sales volumes of buses in Dec. 2009 were 23,293 units, up 53% month on month and 45% year on year. The big surge of sales volumes this month shows that overall recovery of bus industry has started as financial crisis fades.
2. Sales of minibuses were 6,536 units, down 10% month on month and up 73% year on year. And it may be due to that call-back of previous consumption.
Part 4 Sales analysis of all lengths of minibus
Table 4 Sales statistics of all lengths minibus in Dec. 2009 Unit: vehicle
|
6<L≤7
|
5<L≤6
|
3.5<L≤5
|
Dec.
2009
|
sales
|
Growth YoY
|
Growth MoM
|
sales
|
Growth YoY
|
Growth MoM
|
sales
|
Growth YoY
|
Growth MoM
|
3217
|
122%
|
5%
|
1085
|
82%
|
2%
|
753
|
51%
|
-15%
|
Figure 4 Sales statistics of all lengths minibus in Dec. 2009
It can be seen from above that:
1. Sales volumes of minibus between 3.5~5m were 955 units in December last year, up 29% month on month and 33% year on year. New policy this year stimulates needs for minibuses, but it also encountered some distempered factors and the financial crisis; in this case we need further look on when recovery.
2. Sales volumes of minibus between 5~6m were 1,919 units in December last year, up 7% month on month and 178% year on year. Sales volumes of minibus between 5~6m increased for four consecutive months last year. Market needs in the previous two years were not good, and its needs saw clear growth in the overall bad market performance. This is for government policy of advocating small displacement vehicles and internal needs recovery.
3. Sales volumes of minibus between 6~7m were 3,622 units in December last year, up -33% month on month and 59% year on year. This is the most sales volumes among the mentioned three lengths. Since the advanced performance of consumption in Nov., so sales volumes in this month is decreased a little bit. And this is also the most competitive lengths of minibuses.
Part 5 Market share analysis of mininbus
Table 5 Market share of minibus in December 2009 Unit: %
|
Total
|
Minibus
|
6<L≤7
|
5<L≤6
|
3.5<L≤5
|
Sales volumes
|
23293
|
6536
|
3622
|
1919
|
995
|
Percentage of overall bus
|
100%
|
28.06%
|
15.55%
|
8.24%
|
4.27%
|
Percentage of minibus
|
--
|
100%
|
55.42%
|
29.36%
|
15.22%
|
Figure 5 Market share of minibus in December 2009
We can see from the pie chart that sales volumes of minibus take 28% of overall bus sales, a little down from pervious period (except Haishi Jinbei and Fujian Soueast bus). Among minibus, sales volumes of 6~7m take 15.55% of overall buses and 55.42% of minibus, the biggest share; sales volumes of 5~6m take 8.24% of overall buses and 29.36% of minibus; then it comes 3.5~5m, sales volumes take 4.27% of overall buses and 15.22% of minibus.