Analysis of Market Features of China New Energy Buses in Jan.-Aug.2011 (Ⅰ)

Summarize：www.chinabuses.org:


Feature One: the sales growth of China new energy buses is obviously decreasing


According to the related statistics data, the sales volume of new energy buses is 3991 units in Jan.-Aug.2011, taking 87.3% of the total new energy commercial vehicles, year-on-year growth of 25.4%., (168.3% up in Jan.-Aug.2010), including hybrid power, electric and fuel cell). By months, all more than 500 units in Jan., Apr., Jun. and Aug. and less than 500 units in other months.









Shown above,
Compared with Jan.-Aug.2010, the biggest sales growth show in Jan. and the biggest falling is in Feb.(25.4%) in Jan.-Aug.2011.


As for models, large and medium buses are still the mainstream products for the commercialization of new energy vehicles, mainly because that no high demand on speed of city buses in the urban transport, on the other hand, many purchasers are the government departments or enterprises that response to the national policies of energy-saving.








Shown above,
1.Sales rate comes to 25.4% while 168% in Jan.-Aug.2010.


2.Sales volume of large-sized new energy buses is 2521 units, 39.8% up (the biggest growth), which means the new energy buses above 10-meter are the main products demanded in the markets. The smallest growth shows at light buses (1.63%). 


3.As for the sales structure, the market shares of the following types gradually increase: light buses, medium buses and large buses (biggest shares).


Analysis of Feature One:


Firstly, national policy promotes the market demand, for example, 612 units in Jan.-Aug.2007 to 3991 units in Jan.-Aug.2011.


Secondly, the state clearly defines the subsidy standard, taking the comprehensive factors into consideration such as base price difference from conventional motor vehicles, promotion scale and technology advancement. The subsidy on the development of large buses are far much than that on medium and light buses.


Thirdly, the profits of large buses are higher than that of others.


Fourthly, new energy buses are mainly used in the urban transport, in particular, 11-12 meter city buses.


Fifthly, credit squeeze makes influence on bus purchasers and builders, especially medium and small corporations. The comparative value of new energy vehicles is higher than conventional buses.


Sixthly, the great events promote the sales of new energy buses such as World Expo in Shanghai and Asian Games in Guangzhou.


Seventhly, the enthusiasm of purchasers on new energy buses is affected due to inconvenience in actual operation such as inadequate charging stations.


Eighthly, community egoism affects the promotion of new energy bus market in some regions.