Analysis of above 6 meter GNG Buses Market in Jan. - Nov. 2011 Ⅳ

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There are 20 enterprises sell CNG buses in the market of South-Central China and the top one enterprise is Yangtsz Bus with the sales quantity of 363 units and 60% of market share. The popular sales type model of Yangtsz Bus is WG6101N and is equipped with FAW engine CA6102N2. The top two and top three are Hengtong Bus and Nanjun Auto with the respectively sales of 60 units and 36 units. The respective popular sales type models are Hengtong Bus: CKZ6851N3 with Dongfeng engine EQ6100N-30 and Nanjun Auto: CNJ6110JNB with Dongfeng Nanchong engine NQ150N.

Table Thirteen: Sales statistic of different sizes of CNG buses in South-Central China in Jan.-Nov. of 2011    

Chart Thirteen: Sales statistic of different sizes of CNG buses in South-Central China in Jan.-Nov. of 2011

Table Fourteen: Sales statistic of CNG buses’ enterprises in South-Central China in Jan.-Nov. of 2011  

Chart Fourteen: Sales statistic of CNG buses’ enterprises in South-Central China in Jan.-Nov. of 2011

Part Three: The prediction of above 6 meter CNG Buses’ market development trend in 2012

In 2011, the government overall economic policy was the combination of loose and tight, namely fiscal policy was moderate loose and monetary policy was moderately tight. In order to stimulating domestic demand, the government still took positive support policy to the bus market as the bus market is high sensitivity to the government policy and is highly influenced by the state's overall economic environment and policy. Therefore, in 2012, the growth rate of the bus market is likely to be increased. And in 2011, natural gas bus accounts for 15% market share in overall bus market share.

To be sure, in the year of 2012, the environmental protection and energy saving is still the main melody in the bus market. In the environmental protection and energy saving bus products, hybrid buses, pure electric buses, and fuel cell buses etc., though these energy saving buses have energy saving effect and national standards emission, the technology of them is not mature and the price is higher, with those unfavorable factors restricting its product progress of market commercialization. However, the natural gas bus’ technology is relatively mature and the energy saving effect is compatible with good emission. Besides, the price is only RMB 20000-30000 higher when compared with the common similar bus which the transit enterprises and operation organizations generally can accept. Therefore, from the practical aspect, the growth trend of natural gas bus market in 2012 will not change, the growth mainly reflects in natural gas field bus market. See the analysis as follows:

1. The integration of urban and rural areas continues to speed up the large size bus. The sales of natural gas bus in 2012 will likely increase.

According to the national planning, in 2012, the process of the urban and rural integration will speed up. In the year of 2012, in most areas, the bus line will be extended and the urban and rural public transport will be opened so the bus trend will be large-scale bus. From the overall bus industry, the above 10 meters buses are the mainstream market demand and the type of the bus is also in the way of the integration of urban and rural areas. At the same time, when the government continues to ask for realizing the integration of urban and rural areas, so the buses must be able to environmental protection which will bring big business of natural gas bus in 2012 years. And this determines the sales of natural gas in 2012 year market.

2. Natural gas bus will be put into use two, three lines market tumbled began

These years, the public transportation first development policy in the first line and some second line cities has been more fully implemented and in some cities, the buses are almost updated. But the bus transportation develop relatively slowly in most two line and three line cities as the road congestion contradiction and the lacking of capital and the complex operating environment etc.
With the development of the city, particularly in 2009, with the cars into the family accelerated dramatically, in the line two and three cities’ traffic congestion problem have gradually emerged. Now with the rapid development of the legislation of bus, financial support and operation environment, the bus priority policy to two and three lines cities will be gradually mature.

So when purchasing energy conservation & saving and emission reduction policy, the relatively cheap price and good technology natural gas city buses are the necessity for the development of bus market. It is inevitable development trend in 2012 that in line two or three cities, the natural gas bus will have good sales market trend.

3. Natural gas buses in the highway transportation market may get further development

Along with the rise in oil prices, more high-speed rail being open, it will brought great pressure on the highway transportation enterprises’ operation and it will be more fierce competition in 2012。 According to the experts, in 2012, under the common investment from the state and local government, it will add nearly 300 more natural gas station in China which will make of natural gas buses obtain the further development in highway transportation market and will push of the development of CNG bus market in 2012 year.