Emerging Economies to Drive World Auto Sales to Record Highs
2008-07-31 Source：english.chinabuses.com
Summarize：OTTAWA (AFP) — Auto sales in places like Brazil, India and China are expected to drive world demand to new records despite a sales slump in Europe and the United States, a Canadian bank said Wednesda ...
OTTAWA (AFP) — Auto sales in places like Brazil, India and China are expected to drive world demand to new records despite a sales slump in Europe and the United States, a Canadian bank said Wednesday.
Global car sales advanced a mere 1.5 percent in the first half of 2008, undercut by slowing Western economies and record oil prices, Scotiabank said in its Global Auto Report.
But Brazil, Russia, India and China continue to post double-digit gains in automotive sales, it said.
"Despite the year-over-year sales decline in recent months, we expect full-year 2008 volumes to climb to a seventh consecutive annual record, buoyed by ongoing strength in Brazil, Russia, China and India," said Carlos Gomes, a Scotiabank senior economist and the report's author.
"In fact, car sales in these nations are expected to surpass US passenger vehicle purchases in 2009," he said.
According to the report, total car and truck sales volumes fell in both May and June, crippled by record oil prices averaging 130 US dollars per barrel and weakness in the mature markets of Western Europe, Japan and the United States.
In the United States, sales of sport utility vehicles and pickup trucks plunged by nearly 30 percent compared to the same period last year.
A further weakening of the US economy is also expected to slash full-year passenger vehicle sales to 14.1 million units in 2008, and to 14.3 million units in 2009 -- "the worst back-to-back performance since 1993," the report said.
Surging oil prices, however, had little impact in Brazil, which accounts for 60 percent of all South American sales.
Eighty-eight per cent of new vehicles sold in Brazil are flex-fuel models that can run on less expensive ethanol, manufactured domestically from sugar cane. Its vehicle sales were up more than 24 percent in the first half of 2008.
Vehicle sales in China moderated from an average annual increase of 30 percent this decade to a hike of 17 percent in the first half of 2008, according to the report.
China insulates domestic consumers from high oil prices by subsidizing fuel costs, but lifted fuel prices by nearly 10 percent in November and raised prices an additional 18 percent in June.
Western Europe saw a three percent decline in car sales due to slowing economic growth, but double-digit gains in Eastern Europe lifted total European sales to four percent during the first half of the year.
In Russia, which is considered separately, car sales were up 40 percent in the first half of 2008 to 1.45 million units.
The report said Russia is set to become the world's fourth largest car market in 2009, with annual volumes of 3.7 million units.
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